@owlstalk Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 9 hours ago, Itsinyourblood said: It’s not good. With all the numbers crunched the Owls have less than 10% of retaining championship status. Could be worse. What is your working out? e.g. how did you come to that number? Owlstalk Shop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theowlsman Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 We’re down. Those useless fookwits will be looking in their mirrors today knowing they let us down, but not actually giving a tosss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colinwestzicoest Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 17 minutes ago, theowlsman said: We’re down. Those useless fookwits will be looking in their mirrors today knowing they let us down, but not actually giving a tosss. Correct. They can't stomach a fight now, never mind with three games to go, all must win. If we fluke getting to that position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wing Back Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 My math is better than your maths. Go figure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daleblue Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 1 hour ago, @owlstalk said: So if we lose every 45 minutes we drop 6 points further down So that’s 12 points per game Ten games left 120 POINTS LOST Great I bet you only did scoring on darts night when they had those telephone dials, dint ya. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poite Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 11 hours ago, The Claw said: math Hes doing the English next. Give him a chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poite Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 2 hours ago, theowlsman said: We’re down. Those useless fookwits will be looking in their mirrors today knowing they let us down, but not actually giving a tosss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McRightSide Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 At this point I would go and get the most upbeat, attacking manager I could find who is willing to take it until the end of the season We really need to survive this season, and I think a new manager honeymoon period is our best chance of doing that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheff74 Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 Not sure where the 10% comes from, but just looking at current points per game (0.875) gives a grand total of 40 points come the end of the season. Looking at the final tables from the last 10 years, there has only been a couple of times when fourth from bottom has been on 44, so 40 points isn't going to be anywhere near enough. It's going to need a tremendous upturn in form to get out of this now and unfortunately the number of teams that can be caught grows increasingly thin. Derby will pull away and Brum are picking up some form at the right time and no way can the 12 points to QPR be overcome. So assuming Wycombe are gone, that leaves Rotherham, Udders, Cov and Wednesday to make up the 2 remaining places, and being 6 points off the pace makes it infinitely harder. It's not impossible, for a team playing well, with character, bite and confidence. But sadly, this team isn't any of those things and I think March's fixtures will finish the job anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
twolaptops Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 This "win" thing ???...............remind me what it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NobbyStyle Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 It’s all about months not maths. We’ll look back on it & say January did for us. No incoming manager or striker(s) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shetland Owl Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 Wednesday night, we may as well say good by to the Championship Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreshOwl Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 As we’ve witnessed all season, our form against those teams around us is why we’ll be relegated The teams around us want to stay up more than us, it’s as simple as that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SallyCinnamon Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 We’re down. Absolutely no chance we stop up. Losing too many games against those around us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sage owl Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 12 hours ago, The Claw said: math Maths. It’s Sheffield not San Diego. FFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bronxowl Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 Haven’t toytown just lost 5 on the bounce? Along come the bottlers...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itsinyourblood Posted February 28, 2021 Author Share Posted February 28, 2021 A fellow Owl recommended this forum but warned me that it can get a little hostile at times so to be careful with my wording, hence my relatively short post. For the record I prefer the term maths as there are different types of maths such as calculus, algebra etc. Born in Sheffield the word math just doesn’t sit right with me. Hey ho. Apologies for not explaining my calculation. My work involves algorithmic probabilities, computer models and much more that I won’t bore you with. Basically, I use as much information as possible to predict an outcome. This could be a poker hand, a game of football or the next Prime Minister. For example, when we were winning 2-0 at half time, bookmakers were around 35-1 for a Luton win. My calculation came out at around 16-1. Overpriced, so good value to invest. I didn’t as I never bet against my team. When I inputted all the data regarding the Owls, and there is a heck of a lot of it, the calculation came out at 9.423% chance of staying up. It seems harsh but probably correct. At the end of the day it’s only a forecast and we may well stay up. The EU referendum and Trump for President are two good examples of forecasts being way out. A new Manager, change of ownership, injuries, signings, remaining fixtures, form and so much more influence the final figure. If we lose to Rotherham you simply don’t want to know our odds. UTO. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
@owlstalk Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 1 minute ago, Itsinyourblood said: A fellow Owl recommended this forum but warned me that it can get a little hostile at times so to be careful with my wording, hence my relatively short post. For the record I prefer the term maths as there are different types of maths such as calculus, algebra etc. Born in Sheffield the word math just doesn’t sit right with me. Hey ho. Apologies for not explaining my calculation. My work involves algorithmic probabilities, computer models and much more that I won’t bore you with. Basically, I use as much information as possible to predict an outcome. This could be a poker hand, a game of football or the next Prime Minister. For example, when we were winning 2-0 at half time, bookmakers were around 35-1 for a Luton win. My calculation came out at around 16-1. Overpriced, so good value to invest. I didn’t as I never bet against my team. When I inputted all the data regarding the Owls, and there is a heck of a lot of it, the calculation came out at 9.423% chance of staying up. It seems harsh but probably correct. At the end of the day it’s only a forecast and we may well stay up. The EU referendum and Trump for President are two good examples of forecasts being way out. A new Manager, change of ownership, injuries, signings, remaining fixtures, form and so much more influence the final figure. If we lose to Rotherham you simply don’t want to know our odds. UTO. Welcome to the site Don't worry about potential hostility the only people who are like that aren't worth listening to anyway - just ignore them 1 Owlstalk Shop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wednesday Fan Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 1 hour ago, sage owl said: Maths. It’s Sheffield not San Diego. FFS. Being a traditionalist I would say it’s Mathematics!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nevthelodgemoorowl Posted February 28, 2021 Share Posted February 28, 2021 Have you included in the 'MATH' that at least 8 or 9 of our squad have thrown the towel in and a few only play one half of the game ? Please reassess ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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