lincolnowl Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 We are well capable of winning the next 4 if our lads are professional and really at it. That would put us in the driving seat me thinks, and it'll be upto us to scrap enough points out of the rest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
northeastowl Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Got us down for exactly 36 points, let's hope we get them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
0114 Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 If you just reverse the score from the first results against these teams we will get 33 points out these game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RolandWaddle Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Welcome aboard Daz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barmyowl1212 Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 64 points and the league is ours *Takes off blue and white specs* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eccy Owl Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 I have us down for 31 points Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sultan_Pepper Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Current home form is 9W-3D-1L from 14 games so 2.14 points per home game. We have 10 home games left so if we keep a similar record we should be in for 21 points. I'm fairly confident we can get those. Can we get 15 points from 8 away games? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluesteel Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Good post Daz. We do seem to have had difficulty in putting the teams around us away. But so have other teams, hopefully no one will really make a splash by putting good form together in the "mini league". I think the telling form will be against the so called "easy teams" as there will still be a few points dropped here as we did vs pools and walsall. Charlton dropped 2 points at home last night vs Bury and no one wouldve thought that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest cypress hill Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 This is all well and good, but do the same with United's and Huddersfield's remaining fixtures. On paper, the only games than any of us should be dropping points in, are those against each other. So we might achieve the 2 pts per game average, and end up finishing 4th!!! agreed.if you put owt on here after a poor performance,or when we'v thrown late points away,people will tell you it's ok "we'r still on course for 2 points a game" it may have been good enough in previous seasons,but this season it won't because we can't beat the teams around us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OxonOwl Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 (edited) I get 36 Yeovil H 3 Exeter A 1 Stevenage H 1 Chesterfield A 3 Sheffield Utd H 0 Rochdale A 1 Bury H 3 Bournemouth H 1 Notts County A 1 Walsall H 3 Leyton Orient A 3 Preston H 3 Huddersfield A 0 Oldham H 3 Colchester A 3 Carlisle H 3 Brentford A 1 Wycombe H 3 36 Edited February 1, 2012 by OxonOwl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kraschenbern Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Yeovil H 3pts Exeter A 3pts Stevenage H 1pt Chesterfield A 3pts Sheffield Utd H 3pts Rochdale A 1pts Bury H 3pt Bournemouth H 1pt Notts County A 1pts Walsall H 3pt Leyton Orient A 3pts Preston H 1pt Huddersfield A 0pt Oldham H 3pts Colchester A 3pts Carlisle H 3pt Brentford A 1pt Wycombe H 3pts I think we'll get 39 points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjani Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 I get 33pts if I take my blue and white specs off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiK Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 This is all well and good, but do the same with United's and Huddersfield's remaining fixtures. On paper, the only games than any of us should be dropping points in, are those against each other. So we might achieve the 2 pts per game average, and end up finishing 4th!!! Rhodes is still at the Udders, so they start 2-0 up every game. United now have Hoskins, Beattie and She-Said-No as their frontline options. So plenty of goals there too. If it was just about us, I'd feel pretty confident; but it's not! Unfortunately this post hits the nail on the head. We could WILL have a great run, but if others don't have a wobble it still may not be enough. It's absolutely vital we take points from our main threats, so beating the pig and the udders could be the diffence between automatic & playoffs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oh_weds_we_love_you Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Yeovil H - 3 Exeter A - 1 Stevenage H - 3 Chesterfield A - 0 Sheffield Utd H - 3 Rochdale A - 3 Bury H - 3 Bournemouth H - 1 Notts County A - 1 Walsall H - 3 Leyton Orient A - 1 Preston H - 3 Huddersfield A - 0 Oldham H - 3 Colchester A - 3 Carlisle H - 1 Brentford A - 0 Wycombe H - 3 = 35pts without my Wednesday bias and throwing in a couple of surprises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shandypants Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 This is all well and good, but do the same with United's and Huddersfield's remaining fixtures. On paper, the only games than any of us should be dropping points in, are those against each other. So we might achieve the 2 pts per game average, and end up finishing 4th!!! Rhodes is still at the Udders, so they start 2-0 up every game. United now have Hoskins, Beattie and She-Said-No as their frontline options. So plenty of goals there too. If it was just about us, I'd feel pretty confident; but it's not! Can Rhodes keep up his fantastic form? I doubt it. Udders seem to be a team relying on Rhodes's goals so if he falters then there is a very good chance that Udders follow suit. Can Hoskins return to the form he was in prior to joining Brighton? There's no guarantee. Take the example of Ryan Lowe who was scoring for fun before he joined us but seems to have gone off the boil now (maybe down to injury) - this could happen to Hoskins. Plus he hasn't played much since the end of last season. Will Evans's court case play on his mind and affect his form? I can't say that it wouldn't effect me irrespective of whether I was innocent or guilty. Can Beattie shed the pounds and return to his old form or is he passed it? He's not pulling up any trees at the moment. Will Madine return to form? Will Lowe or COG find their scoring boots? Can Clinton roll back the years? Will Stevenage make a late run? The fantastic thing about football is that nothing is certain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
i used to be sc_owl Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 My prediction is whoever finishes in 2nd place will need to break the 95pt barrier to do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taximark Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Yeovil H - 3 Exeter A - 3 Stevenage H - 3 Chesterfield A - 1 Sheffield Utd H - 3 Rochdale A - 3 Bury H - 3 Bournemouth H - 1 Notts County A - 3 Walsall H - 3 Leyton Orient A - 1 Preston H - 3 Huddersfield A - 1 Oldham H - 3 Colchester A - 1 Carlisle H - 1 Brentford A - 0 Wycombe H - 3 39 points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taximark Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 My prediction is whoever finishes in 2nd place will need to break the 95pt barrier to do it. I don't think it will, I think the top 6 who have been in incredible form will all falter and the mid teams will get some points from them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mark77 Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Yeovil H 3pts Exeter A 1pt Stevenage H 3pts Chesterfield A 3pts Sheffield Utd H 1pt Rochdale A 3pts Bury H 3pts Bournemouth H 3pts Notts County A 3pts Walsall H 3pts Leyton Orient A 1pt Preston H 1pt Huddersfield A 0pts Oldham H 3pts Colchester A 1pt Carlisle H 1pt Brentford A 1pt Wycombe H 3pts 37 points.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daz Posted February 1, 2012 Author Share Posted February 1, 2012 I can see why people might think that several teams might break through 90 points, but I'm still not sure myself - and history would definitely say they won't. Huddersfield have 18 games left to get 36 points but 5 of their 18 games are against top 6 teams. If they achieve a similar return in those 5 games, it will leave them needing 28 points from 13 games - so more than 2 points a game. United have 19 games to get 37 points, with 4 of their 19 games against top 6 teams. Again, if they achieve a similar return in thise 4 games, it will leave them needing 34 points from 15 games - so potentially a harder task than Huddersfield to get to 90 points. MK have 19 games to get 42 points and doing the same math as above, they will need to get 39 points from 16 games - tougher still. Stevenage have 19 games to get 45 points - doing the same math they will need to get 37 points from 15 games - just as tough. So, coming to us, we have 18 games to get 36 points - getting a similar return from the 3 games against the top 6 will leave us needing 33 points from 15 games - just better off than United but slightly worse than Huddersfield. In reality, no-one knows what will happen - all you can do is adopt a statistical approach - if you do, then you can see it is a tough ask for any one of the 5 teams above to get past 90 points - so to get more than one doing it to get in 2nd place - whilst possible, is not supported statistically. We just have to worry about us getting to 90 - if we do then we give ourselves a great chance of automatic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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