thewookieisdown Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 My forecast is that the 22nd place team will be 42 points ie 43 safe. It varies ie last season 52 was safe. But the two before was low 40s. Defeat last night and it's meltdown. A win last tuesday and it's Jos's brave new world. I conclude that our fans by and large live in a fish tank in Pets at Home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarrowbyOwl Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 COULD be a low drop threshold this season. Here's the position of the bottom 10, with projections based on ppg over the season so far. That flatters us though because of our awful form since October (4 wins in 5 months). Continuation of form over last 15 games would see us finish on 48 points. Continuation of form under Jos (7 from 7) would see us finish on 50. A slump from us or a late surge from those below us could still see us dragged into it. There's still a way to go. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spookone Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 For the first time this season I am getting worried about getting dragged into a scrap, I still cant see us going down but I was counting on at least some of the first team being back by now - worrying, not quit as worrying as not playing a striker last night though - very strange. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matthefish2002 Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 If we get a point a game from now to end of season we will be comfortably be above relegation. If we go down from here we only have ourselves to blame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ray Von shabba Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 2 hours ago, steelowl said: cannot understand why some are refusing to accept the position we are sliding into and have been for a long time The squad Jos has left may get thinner as we've seen last night hence his over caution Hopefully it will be teams below that save us cannot wait for this shocker of a season to finish Yes there's been a slide from the start of the season but the ship is now steadied. Talking relegation really helps morale doesn't it !!!! We have players coming back in the next couple of weeks. Last 5 matches: Owls 5 points and a lot better goal average than those around and below. Leeds 2 Notts Forest (in freefall) 2 Hull 4 Dingles 1 Sunderland 1 relegation ffs ..................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Newsome Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 People keep mentioning this relegation battle, we've not been in a relegation battle all season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lord Snooty Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 Think we'll finish 17th . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeff King's dog Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 8 hours ago, ElsecarOwl said: Why the hell are we even talking about a relegation battle. Have faith, there's some real crap below us. And there is our salvation.... Brum, Reading, Ull, Dingles and the Mackems are all worse than us. We will stay up not so much because we deserve to but that 4-5 other sides deserve it even less. In a season of negatives the best thing is that there are other worst sides! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buxtongent Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 Whichever way we look at it, the two teams nearest us, Hull and surprisingly Burton, have both to win 3 more matches than we do to 3 losses to catch us up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sergeant Tibbs Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 9 hours ago, owlmanc said: We are playing a few relegation rivals who will be scrapping for their lives Essential we don't lose to them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southie_Owl Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 (edited) 2 hours ago, HarrowbyOwl said: COULD be a low drop threshold this season. Here's the position of the bottom 10, with projections based on ppg over the season so far. That flatters us though because of our awful form since October (4 wins in 5 months). Continuation of form over last 15 games would see us finish on 48 points. Continuation of form under Jos (7 from 7) would see us finish on 50. A slump from us or a late surge from those below us could still see us dragged into it. There's still a way to go. This is interesting thanks. i’ve said we need 3 wins and 3 draws, so 12 points. So it’s good to see that if we continued our form for the last 15 games (which is pretty rubbish), we would still get enough points. I think we just have to be patient and not let defeats with this decimated squad get us down. There’s still half a dozen games where we can realistically get points from this season Edited February 21, 2018 by Southie_Owl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarrowbyOwl Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 23 minutes ago, Southie_Owl said: This is interesting thanks. i’ve said we need 3 wins and 3 draws, so 12 points. So it’s good to see that if we continued our form for the last 15 games (which is pretty rubbish), we would still get enough points. I think we just have to be patient and not let defeats with this decimated squad get us down. There’s still half a dozen games where we can get points this season Yes, if we can continue our dismal form we should be just about OK. Can't take anything for granted though. A loss of 'form', more players to injury or confidence could see it getting too close for comfort There also always seems to be one or two that look dead and buried that find a bit of fight from somewhere and climb out of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beauchief Owl Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 We are in a relegation fight for sure. Any team that loses by three goals at home to Burton, and is beaten by Birmingham at home (who got hammered 5-0 last night) can not be assured of getting a point a game over the rest of the season to reach the 50 points mark. Given our incredibly bad record against teams below us that gap between us and the relegation zone will disappear if we do not start winning such six-pointers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sweetsheri Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 4 hours ago, HarrowbyOwl said: COULD be a low drop threshold this season. Here's the position of the bottom 10, with projections based on ppg over the season so far. That flatters us though because of our awful form since October (4 wins in 5 months). Continuation of form over last 15 games would see us finish on 48 points. Continuation of form under Jos (7 from 7) would see us finish on 50. A slump from us or a late surge from those below us could still see us dragged into it. There's still a way to go. I think 46 points will be needed this year. Not sure why. There is always a team that puts a run together and also a team that hits a terrible run. Still think Brum could be in the Bottom 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jack Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 4 hours ago, matthefish2002 said: If we get a point a game from now to end of season we will be comfortably be above relegation. If we go down from here we only have ourselves to blame. If we go down from here then JL has messed us up big time. He has had half a season to keep us safe, however if he continues like last night then we are in serious trouble. Fingers crossed its a one off ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
farlego Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 if ULL win their game in hand we are only 5 point off the 3rd drop spot. Then i might start to worry especially if they beat the pigs Friday night and we don't beat villa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Owling Wolfe Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 Burton are 3rd from bottom on 29pts, we are on 37 pts. We will still be 8pts above the last spot regardless of Hull's result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kew Owl Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 4 hours ago, Owling Wolfe said: Burton are 3rd from bottom on 29pts, we are on 37 pts. We will still be 8pts above the last spot regardless of Hull's result. There's five teams below us that are currently averaging less than 1 point per game, so if, as I accept that its a big IF. things stay as they are, then 46 points should be enough to keep us up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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