maidstoneowl Posted April 26 Share Posted April 26 I am not an Opta computer, but surely this is the best outcome we could hope for in this fixture, tomorrow? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
33 Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 Agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DSandersonOWL Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 23 minutes ago, maidstoneowl said: I am not an Opta computer, but surely this is the best outcome we could hope for in this fixture, tomorrow? You might not be an Opta computer but you could well be an Optimistic one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowry Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 What about a draw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gresh Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 A draw is the best outcome if we can win as it guarantees we stay up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Pulsar Posted April 27 Popular Post Share Posted April 27 9 minutes ago, Gresh said: A draw is the best outcome if we can win as it guarantees we stay up. No it doesn't. 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Utah Owl Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 1 hour ago, Gresh said: A draw is the best outcome if we can win as it guarantees we stay up. Except it doesn't. The gap would be 3 pts between us and Brum but their goal difference is vastly superior 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HirstWhoScoredIt Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 It doesn’t matter if Huddersfield win 1-0 or 12-0 - as long as they win. Goal difference is irrelevant. The chances of Wednesday overturning the goal difference in two matches whilst at the same time getting three less points than Huddersfield is almost non-existent. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HirstWhoScoredIt Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 Just now, HirstWhoScoredIt said: It doesn’t matter if Huddersfield win 1-0 or 12-0 - as long as they win. Goal difference is irrelevant. The chances of Wednesday overturning the goal difference in two matches whilst at the same time getting three less points than Huddersfield is almost non-existent. To expand on this point, Huddersfield’s goal difference is two better than ours AND they’ve scored more goals than us. There are three ways they can get exactly three points more than us in two matches so that goal difference comes in to play:- 1. They get 6 points, we get three. 2. they get 4 points, we get one. 3. they get 3 points we get zero. In scenario one, the best we could possibly hope for is that they win both matches by one and we lose our match by one. That still means we would need to win the match we win by SIX goals or more. Not happening. In scenario two, no possible set of score lines turns around the goal difference. In scenario three, the best we could obtain is we lose both matches by one and they only win their match by one goal. That still means they would need to lose the match they did by SIX goals or more. Again, highly unlikely! So please, everybody stop wasting energy by thinking about goal difference. 3 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shipley Owl Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 It's not about goal difference for me. A Huddersfield win feels the best result just because I think they're a lot less likely to get anything in their last game v Ipswich, compared to Birmingham v Norwich. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HirstWhoScoredIt Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 9 minutes ago, Shipley Owl said: It's not about goal difference for me. A Huddersfield win feels the best result just because I think they're a lot less likely to get anything in their last game v Ipswich, compared to Birmingham v Norwich. Exactly! Plus they’ll be on 47 but Birmingham will be on 49 if they win. A Huddersfield win is the best outcome but the score line is irrelevant 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southie_Owl Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 I’ve lumped on a brum win today. Hopefully the fact this is Hudds’ last home game, but also it’s realistically their last chance to stay up - will mean it’s a tough game for Brum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doubleo Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 22 minutes ago, HirstWhoScoredIt said: Exactly! Plus they’ll be on 47 but Birmingham will be on 49 if they win. A Huddersfield win is the best outcome but the score line is irrelevant Not quite right mate. There is a long shot where we could lose both of ours and stay up on goal difference. If Udders won by 1 goal today, and we lost by 1 goal, their GD would be -26 ours would be -30. A difference of 4 If we lost our last match by 1 goal ours would be -31, making a difference of 5. So if Ipswich tanked them 6-0 we’d stay up, assuming Norwich win at Brum ofcourse. Long shot I know but you’ve only got to look at Leeds getting tonked 4-0 last night. Anything can happen in this division. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southie_Owl Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 1 minute ago, doubleo said: Not quite right mate. There is a long shot where we could lose both of ours and stay up on goal difference. If Udders won by 1 goal today, and we lost by 1 goal, their GD would be -26 ours would be -30. A difference of 4 If we lost our last match by 1 goal ours would be -31, making a difference of 5. So if Ipswich tanked them 6-0 we’d stay up, assuming Norwich win at Brum ofcourse. Long shot I know but you’ve only got to look at Leeds getting tonked 4-0 last night. Anything can happen in this division. Yes and we know a club who got tonked by 6 goals at Ipswich this season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Django Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 I’m not concerned about Huddersfield any more. I think 1 point is all we need and they won’t catch us Birmingham are the concern, we desperately need them to lose today 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Howards back Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 Huddersfield 1-0 please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HirstWhoScoredIt Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 11 minutes ago, doubleo said: Not quite right mate. There is a long shot where we could lose both of ours and stay up on goal difference. If Udders won by 1 goal today, and we lost by 1 goal, their GD would be -26 ours would be -30. A difference of 4 If we lost our last match by 1 goal ours would be -31, making a difference of 5. So if Ipswich tanked them 6-0 we’d stay up, assuming Norwich win at Brum ofcourse. Long shot I know but you’ve only got to look at Leeds getting tonked 4-0 last night. Anything can happen in this division. Yeah I explained exactly that scenario above. However, you’d also need the points to align so that Ipswich needed to win by that many to even have a chance it happens. If Ipswich need to simply win and are a couple up and Huddersfield need to not get tonked- there is absolutely no way the ball doesn’t spend 20 minutes being passed about deep in one teams half relatively unchallenged. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roscoe P. Coltrane Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 What will be will be..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sexpistol Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 29 minutes ago, Django said: I’m not concerned about Huddersfield any more. I think 1 point is all we need and they won’t catch us Birmingham are the concern, we desperately need them to lose today I don’t think Plymouth are out of the mire yet either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slinger208b Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 6 hours ago, DSandersonOWL said: You might not be an Opta computer but you could well be an Optimistic one Hence the word 'hope'... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now