eddyowl123 Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 Our final 8 fixtures of the season are as follows: 30 Mar (H) Preston 2 Apr (A) Sunderland 7 Apr (H) Fulham 10 Apr (A) QPR 14 Apr (A) Hull City 21 Apr (H) Reading 28 Apr (A) Wolves 6 May (H) Norwich After today's win at L**ds, we sit 17th with 41 points. Last year's 21st placed survivors Nottingham Forest stayed up on goal difference, narrowly edging out Blackburn who dropped on the final day with 51 points. Over the last 10 seasons, the average number of points recorded by the team finishing in 21st has been 49.4, with a range between 44 (Birmingham in 13/14) and 55 (Barnsley in 12/13), while the average points achieved by the team in 22nd has been 45.7, with a range between 40 (Portsmouth in 11/12 AND Charlton in 15/16) and 54 (Peterborough in 12/13). So, the numbers would suggest that a further 5 points, on average, sees us safe. Both Barnsley and Birmingham would need 13 points from their final 8 games to reach that tally, and Birmingham would need to see a swing of at least 18 goals in their favour. What I suppose I'm asking with all this is: how many do you think we need to be safe, and where do you think those points are likely to come from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geedee Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 My prediction is 6 points in the 7 next games means I won't need to go to the Norwich game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vulva Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 Champions 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDM4nil Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 No probs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddyowl123 Posted March 17, 2018 Author Share Posted March 17, 2018 My personal predictions are as follows: 30 Mar (H) Preston - 1-3 (L) 2 Apr (A) Sunderland - 0-1 (W) 7 Apr (H) Fulham - 0-2 (L) 10 Apr (A) QPR - 1-1 (D) 14 Apr (A) Hull City - 1-1 (D) 21 Apr (H) Reading - 0-0 (D) 28 Apr (A) Wolves - 0-3 (L) 6 May (H) Norwich - 1-1 (D) Which gives us 7 further points and puts us on 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Owlstastic Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 I think we'll get 20 points. I am a bit tipsy though...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddyowl123 Posted March 17, 2018 Author Share Posted March 17, 2018 1 minute ago, Owlstastic said: I think we'll get 20 points. I am a bit tipsy though...... To be fair, Wolves are due a 4-0 hiding from someone... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saf Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 I think that win sees us safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Owls_fan_since_1983 Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 Surely 27 points, we find out we get an extra three points to one of the sides we lost to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SiJ Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 I think we will be ok. Think the toughest games are Preston and Fulham tbh. Wolves likely to be up by the time we play them so you never know. With how the division has been this season, I reckon two more wins should probably see us stop up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darra Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 43 points will see us safe I reckon. To pass us Birmingham or Barnsley would have to win around half of their remaining games and rely on us to lose half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
s6 owl Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 We can get 6 points in the next two games. Especially with FF, Hutch and Bannan back in the fold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddyowl123 Posted March 17, 2018 Author Share Posted March 17, 2018 I can't see exactly how both Barnsley and Birmingham can each pull 5 wins out of their remaining 8. But I guess stranger things have happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 7 minutes ago, eddyowl123 said: My personal predictions are as follows: 30 Mar (H) Preston - 1-3 (L) 2 Apr (A) Sunderland - 0-1 (W) 7 Apr (H) Fulham - 0-2 (L) 10 Apr (A) QPR - 1-1 (D) 14 Apr (A) Hull City - 1-1 (D) 21 Apr (H) Reading - 0-0 (D) 28 Apr (A) Wolves - 0-3 (L) 6 May (H) Norwich - 1-1 (D) Which gives us 7 further points and puts us on 48 Don’t think we’l lose to Preston as long as Hutch tw@ts Pearson early doors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darra Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 We're 8 points better off than them two 9 with our superior GD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TrickyTrev Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 If we welcome back Forestieri, Bannan and Hutchinson we’ll be a far far better Sheffield Wednesday side than over the last 8 matches. We’ll finish on 55 points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
belfast owl lad Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 we're safe,stop fretting everyone. UTO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doubleo Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 35 minutes ago, Geedee said: My prediction is 6 points in the 7 next games means I won't need to go to the Norwich game That should suit FF then ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SallyCinnamon Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 32 minutes ago, eddyowl123 said: I can't see exactly how both Barnsley and Birmingham can each pull 5 wins out of their remaining 8. But I guess stranger things have happened. I think Birmingham will stay up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darra Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 Just now, SallyCinnamon said: I think Birmingham will stay up. You could be right. They have been my favourites to go down for weeks but can see Reading getting pulled into the mix.now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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