RyanSWFC Posted February 25, 2018 Author Share Posted February 25, 2018 Update after Villa. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
@owlstalk Posted February 26, 2018 Share Posted February 26, 2018 Thanks @RyanSWFC Worrying trend going on there We need wins ASAP Owlstalk Shop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanSWFC Posted February 26, 2018 Author Share Posted February 26, 2018 (edited) We are quite fortunate that at the moment it is looking like it will be a season whether the points needed to stay up will be below average. At this stage of the season the average relegation line is at 34 points, while currently only 30 points (and a better goal difference than Birmingham's -29) is needed to sit outside the bottom three. Edited February 26, 2018 by RyanSWFC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanSWFC Posted February 26, 2018 Author Share Posted February 26, 2018 (edited) 8 minutes ago, RyanSWFC said: We are quite fortunate that at the moment it is looking like it will be a season whether the points needed to stay up will be below average. At this stage of the season the average relegation line is at 34 points, while currently only 30 points (and a better goal difference than Birmingham's -29) is needed to sit outside the bottom three. Putting in it graphical form: So unless the teams below us have an upturn in form (which they could during the run-in when they'll be more desperate for points), we should be okay. Edited February 26, 2018 by RyanSWFC 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAL Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 12 games left, with 36 points to try and win, I SAID TO TRY AND WIN, PLEASE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pulcinella Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Big this thread is going to be better reading next year... Hopefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanSWFC Posted March 4, 2018 Author Share Posted March 4, 2018 (edited) Update after Bristol City. Sadly I think i'm going to need to make the relegation graph a regular thing for the rest of the season. Edited March 4, 2018 by RyanSWFC 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiss Toni Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 All I can say is that we're probably fortunate that the points to stay up is going to be less than previous seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marshy Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 We're a bit too close to that red line for my liking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanSWFC Posted March 4, 2018 Author Share Posted March 4, 2018 We ideally need the Pigs to beat Burton in their rearranged fixture otherwise that orange "stay up as things stand" line will steepen a bit if Burton win there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holmowl Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 4 hours ago, RyanSWFC said: Update after Bristol City. Sadly I think i'm going to need to make the relegation graph a regular thing for the rest of the season. Look at that. I’d forgotten that after game 16 we were ready to pounce. We were where we had been the previous two seasons. We had beaten Villa that day, and compare the Xl to Saturday:- Westwood Hunt Lees Loovens Fox Wallace Butters Bannan Reach Hooper Rhodes Whst would you give to see that side on Tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethel The Tree Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 17 hours ago, Pulcinella said: Big this thread is going to be better reading next year... Hopefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pulcinella Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 29 minutes ago, Ethel The Tree said: Star Wars X - Curse of the Spellcheckers. Worse than Vader you know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanSWFC Posted March 6, 2018 Author Share Posted March 6, 2018 (edited) Update after Ipswich. Edited March 6, 2018 by RyanSWFC 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitechapel Owl Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Thanks Ryan, looking at that it appears it may be a low points tally to survive this year. Saying that, often the teams around the bottom start winning in the last few games when they are battling for their lives. Can't believe we're 7 points clear after 2 wins in 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAL Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Still above a point a game average. But dropping quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarrowbyOwl Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 (edited) Birmingham on 30 points are 4 points below the 5 season average for a 22nd placed team at this stage. This suggests that the drop threshold could be around 4 points lower than the 5 season end of season average of 46, so about 42. Can we pick up six points from somewhere to get to 43? Over the past 20 games we've averaged 0.7 ppg. At that rate we'd finish on 44, 1 point above what's needed. Happy 150th folks! Lucky its not 2012-13 when Peterborough wend down on 54 and Wolves on 51 Edited March 6, 2018 by HarrowbyOwl 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steelowl Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 10 hours ago, HarrowbyOwl said: Birmingham on 30 points are 4 points below the 5 season average for a 22nd placed team at this stage. This suggests that the drop threshold could be around 4 points lower than the 5 season end of season average of 46, so about 42. Can we pick up six points from somewhere to get to 43? Over the past 20 games we've averaged 0.7 ppg. At that rate we'd finish on 44, 1 point above what's needed. Happy 150th folks! Lucky its not 2012-13 when Peterborough wend down on 54 and Wolves on 51 tbh Harrowby I can't see where another point is coming from the teams below as bad as they are know they have to fight previous experience shows they will get points Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanSWFC Posted March 10, 2018 Author Share Posted March 10, 2018 (edited) Update after Bolton. At least the line is no longer flat. Interesting that if the bottom 3 keep picking up points at the rate that they have this season so far, we could lose every match for the rest of the season and we would still stay up. Edited March 10, 2018 by RyanSWFC 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethel The Tree Posted March 11, 2018 Share Posted March 11, 2018 Can almost hear that screech of brakes ... or the swerve and climb as the plane avoids colliding with the mountain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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