RyanSWFC

After two matches we are exactly following last season's line.

The way I look at it (and the way I did the graphs) is that in that scenario Stoke finished on 93 points but they didn't actually need 93. Because had they finished on 89 they would have still finished 2nd. Or 88 in which case 88 would be enough for either Stoke or West Brom depending on goal difference.

Long way to go.

As most of you seemed to find these graphs useful last season, I thought I might as well do the same this campaign. I will be adding a new line to the graphs for this season and posting updated versions game by game throughout the season in this thread. As we experience the highs and lows of the Championship season and many of us get carried away after each and every result, it is easy to forget the bigger picture of the season as a whole (and also consider how we are doing compared to previous seasons). I hope that this thread, like last season (for the most part), can bring a bit of sanity to OwlsTalk and allow us not to over react if we have a few winless matches, nor think the Championship trophy has our name on it if we put consecutive wins together in September. Below are the graphs which show our progress in the full seasons under Chansiri's ownership, and also how we did in all of the seasons since getting promoted from League One. The straight lines are based upon the average (mean) number of points needed for the particular achievement over the last 5 seasons. For example, the 3rd placed teams in the Championship over the last 5 seasons achieved points of 88, 85, 89, 86, 85 - so on average achieving 86.6 points (1.8841 points per game) would be enough to finish above the 3rd placed team and hence achieve automatic promotion (lower than the widely-accepted value of 90 points for a top 2 finish). If you have any feedback or suggestions about the graphs, feel free to comment and I will do my best to improve them. I appreciate that the one with all our seasons since promotion is a little messy. Let's hope for a nice steep graph this year, UTO.

At the end of last season when we started to get our injured players back we were in great form. 5-1 vs Norwich, draw at Wolves, 3-0 vs Reading, 4-1 vs Preston, 2-1 at Leeds, 3-1 at Sunderland, 1-0 at Hull - all in the last couple of months of the season. Don't understand all the doom-mongering and see no reason why we can't pick up where we left off with the same squad and manager to be honest.

Here is Matt's latest update regarding this: https://footballtyper.wordpress.com/2018/05/19/quidagoal-update-1/ Would be great to get more on board

I've been able to label the point on the graph when he came in (after the labelled match). Here are the final graphs of the season:

Update after Wolves away.

Update after Reading if anyone cares.

Oh there we go working now:

Not sure why the other graph won't upload, keep getting an error.

Update after Hull away.

Update after Hull away.

Defeat tonight but no real harm done.

I will do it again next season. How many previous seasons should I put on each graph though? Stick with those since Carvalhal's first season, just compare next season to this season, or include all seasons since we got promoted (bit cluttered though, as below)?