royalowlisback Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 14 games, by which point we would be massively behind the rest of the sides. Almost a third of the season to get back to zero points, which would then require taking another 50 odd points (52/53 points should be enough) from the remaining 32 games. Unless we sign 4 or 5 players of real quality, especially 2 proper (with at least 1 experienced) striker, we are doomed. Or we can bury our heads in the sands, like the last few years, and just say it will be alright. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lt109 Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 11 or 12 games Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beighton Owl 87 Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 Cardiff - 1 point Watford - No points Bristol City - 3 points QPR - 3 points Birmingham - 1 point Brentford - 1 point Luton - 3 points Game 7 is possible. Even if that return is optimistic the games that follow are Rotherham and Wycombe so we should be reaching this in the first ten games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sherlyegg Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 8 hours ago, sMacLean said: 10 games. I think any more than that and we can't chase down fast enough. If it takes 10 games to get to zero, we prob would be relegated, with around 42pts. To have a good chance we need to average 1.35 pts per game, levels after 9 games. Though a few yrs ago, blackburn went down with 51pts. Usually 50 is more than enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matthefish2002 Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 The last 15 games of last season we got 12 points. The squad currently is threadbare. A lot depends on who we bring in between now and start of the season. Would estimate 10 games but even then we will be 8 or 9 points off safety. We might need to not lose heart if we have a couple of bad results in a row. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
royalowlisback Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 Even without the deduction, the current squad is poor, and would have a real fight on their hands to stay up. Stick on the minus 12, and as it stands, we are down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Manwithastick Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 We won’t get out of the bottom 3 all season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stocksyuto Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 Going off the stats it will be around 7-9 games 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marshy Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 I was quietly confident a couple of weeks ago, but now, with 9 days before we kick off for real, with still no strikers in the building, I'm beginning to worry that this is a bridge too far. I hope I'm wrong, but just one striker who appears from the outside to have issues is beyond a joke. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonnyowl Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 Any sort of the same form as the second half of last season and it will be all over before xmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The only way is S6 Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 8 games until zero. Plus 4 other good reasons for staying up.. Coventry Wycombe Rotherham Barnsley Keep the faith 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N0rtherner Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 4 HMS Pi$$ the League is about to set sail! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Owls_fan_since_1983 Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 next season P46 w0 l46 d0 f1 a49 pts -12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TomtheOwl95 Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 17 hours ago, JOCOWl said: Agree. Looking at the fixtures in October we have to enter November on at least 0 points. I know some teams might surprise us but on paper october has to be a good run. Yeah, with all due respect to Luton, Rotherham and Wycombe. If we're not taking at least 7 points from 9 (baring any exceptional starts from any of those three sides) then we probably will be in trouble. A decent start and a good October should see us on track to survive. A poor start followed up with a bad October and it'll be a tough ask. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Musn't Grumble Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 As a rule of thumb, teams at the bottom average around one point per game whilst teams at the top average almost two points per game. We will need promotion/play-off form for much of the season but, if we can start with that sort of form, we should be breaking even (0 points) after around six games and getting out of the bottom three after around thirteen or fourteen games (13/14 points) with the added advantage that, again based on such form, our goal difference should be miles better than anyone else hovering around the bottom three or four. Would be nice to see this happen but it may take a lot more matches to catch up and overtake the bottom three. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Westfield Owl Posted September 3, 2020 Share Posted September 3, 2020 On 02/09/2020 at 01:09, TomtheOwl95 said: Personally if we're still in minus points by the end of October then it'll be a tough ask. Having said that the Championship is mental and can change within a week and especially with so many 3 game weeks this season it might have more twists and turns than normal. I think the amount of 3 game weeks put us at huge disadvantage. Our squad is threadbare. No strength in depth in any position, apart from CB. We are asking for players to get injured without being able to afford them the required rest and rotation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tommy Crawshaw Posted September 3, 2020 Share Posted September 3, 2020 Considering we've achieved 12 points from our last 15 matches, a vast improvement is needed if we don't want to be well adrift of the second from bottom team with a 3rd of the season gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sMacLean Posted September 3, 2020 Share Posted September 3, 2020 Chansiri can always spend big in January if needed to. Think if we look like we'll be ok he'll keep his powder dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JOCOWl Posted September 3, 2020 Share Posted September 3, 2020 16 hours ago, Owls_fan_since_1983 said: next season P46 w0 l46 d0 f1 a49 pts -12 Not a bad defensive record to be fair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TomtheOwl95 Posted September 3, 2020 Share Posted September 3, 2020 21 hours ago, Westfield Owl said: I think the amount of 3 game weeks put us at huge disadvantage. Our squad is threadbare. No strength in depth in any position, apart from CB. We are asking for players to get injured without being able to afford them the required rest and rotation. To be fair if you add the youngsters in the squad isn't that small. It isn't threadbare. You never know how well they'll do but the one thing they should be is fit enough to play a decent number of games. Injuries, as we know from 17/18 and 18/19 can rip any squad apart. you can't really worry too much about it I don't think. Plus every club will have to cope with the quick turn around, not just Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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