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Posted (edited)

I posted this on the betting thread but thought it worthy of everyone's view on relegation, trying looking at it without emotion and purely from betting a sense. 

 

I had £10 on us to go down at 100/1 when I heard of the potential points deduction. I've always said it's a bet that I don't want to win. 

 

My £10 bet is currently suspended on Skybet. 

Last time I looked, they were offering £2ish cash out for a £10 bet.

 

Be interesting to see what they're offering now. 

 

I've just been looking at the league table. Luton and Barnsley look gone, and to catch us, they need 5 wins. 

Hull are in a similar run of form to us and they sold their 2 best players and not recovered from it. They could easily go down.

Charlton are crap, even we beat them. That said, I think they might scrape out of it.

 

Boro, Stoke and Huddersfield, I think they will all survive and they may all catch us if we continue our poor recent run. Wigan might just have enough to stay up.

 

Our current goal difference is worth an extra point unless we get more nasty beatings like yesterday.

 

My conclusion is that I think we need 1 more win out of the remaining 9 games to be safe. Maybe a draw as well. 

 

Looking at the fixtures, regardless of what people think of Monk, I think we will get this. We will be safe. 

 

The elephant in the room, and the reason that some 'shrewd' punters have latched onto at big odds is the possible/impending points deduction. 

If that happens, even if it is only 6 points, I think we will go down.

 

Edited by Theboylangers
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Just now, @owlstalk said:

 

 

I bet there's a clause saying that points deductions mean the bet is invalid

Points deductions don't make the bet invalid (as far as I'm reliably informed).

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Just now, Theboylangers said:

Points deductions don't make the bet invalid (as far as I'm reliably informed).

 

 

I'm surprised by that


Thought they've have tried to wriggle out of it

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1 minute ago, @owlstalk said:

 

 

I'm surprised by that


Thought they've have tried to wriggle out of it

It was on here to be fair.

:duntmatter:

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I don’t think we’ll get a point this monk unless Monk is sacked. 
 

So id look at this again at the end of the month and see how far of relegation without a points deduction we are then. Plus the goal difference we in the teens not so long back wouldn’t rely on that being a point soon  

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Is there a particular cut off when a points deduction has to be applied by otherwise it gets deducted for the next season???

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Points deduction before the end of the season is all good with bet 365. But if given after final game then the bet would be void even though we’d be relegated. 
 

I’ve more than doubled my money on my cash out as it stands ffs. 

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Offering me £102 to cash out my £25 bet at 40/1 on bet 365

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I put 20 quid on us to go down at 33-1 as soon as the EFL charge came in. 

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Just checked Skybet. 

They are offering me £2.02 cashout for the £10 bet. 

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32 minutes ago, Theboylangers said:

Points deductions don't make the bet invalid (as far as I'm reliably informed).

If the points are deducted after the last match of the season (unlikely, but not impossible they will not pay out...assuming it would relegate us)

If the points are deducted while the season is in progress most will pay out...watch out for smaller online bookies, some have different rules.

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4 minutes ago, SallyCinnamon said:

I put 20 quid on us to go down at 33-1 as soon as the EFL charge came in. 

Then you have lost 20 quid :biggrin:

  • Haha 1

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35 minutes ago, jellybean said:

Offering me £102 to cash out my £25 bet at 40/1 on bet 365

Don't do it.

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