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I said the other day, 70/71 points might be enough, and in all likelihood, we'd finish just shy of it. With this prediction, I've got it at 71, but we'd still finish just 2 pts short of the required amount. 

 

Expect Villa to have a strong finish. Smith has seemed to get their defence in shape of late, and the comeback of Grealish seems to have given them an extra dimension going forward. 

 

Everybody else, in and around the chasing pack, I expect to pretty much match each others results. 

 

In the run in, I've got:


Villa - 19 points - 2.1pts/game

Forest - 17 points - 1.9/game

Wednesday - 17 points - 1.9/game

Hull - 16 points - 1.8/game

Preston - 14 - 1.6/game

Derby - 14 points - 1.6/game

Bristol - 15 points - 1.5/game

Boro - 13 points - 1.3/game

 

So not much between any of the teams really, and in the end, the cushion a faltering Boro already have, will just about be enough to keep them in the playoffs. 

 

For anybodies interest, here's how I predicted our results to go:

 

Blackburn (H) - Win 2-0

Stoke (A) - Lose 1-2

Villa (H) - Draw 2-2

Forest (H) - Win 2-0

Leeds (A) - Lose 0-2

Norwich (A) - Win 2-1

Bristol (H) - Win 1-0

Preston (A) - Draw 1-1

QPR (H) - Win 3-2

Screenshot 2019-03-14 at 11.54.00.png

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22 minutes ago, Ash76 said:

Screen Shot 2019-03-14 at 11.41.10.png

 

Wednesday v Villa play off final

 

Big Steve's has last laugh

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I had us losing at Stoke, Norwich, Preston, drawing at home to Forest and Villa and away to Leeds, and beating Blackburn, Bristol C and QPR.

 

Too many draws and that lack of enough (fit) quality to turn some of those draws into wins will cost us in the end, although I'd have laughed at anybody even dreaming of the playoffs in early December.

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In essence - I can see us losing against Leeds and Norwich as a given 

 

Villa and Preston are tricky

 

Rest I think we can win - still not enough 

  • Agree 3

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Mine didn't go so well:

 

# Team M. W. D. L. Goals Dif. Pt.
1 Norwich City Norwich City 46 31 9 6 100:55 45 102
2 Leeds United Leeds United 46 29 7 10 81:46 35 94
3 Sheffield United Sheffield United 46 25 10 11 75:44 31 85
4 West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 46 21 14 11 84:59 25 77
5 Preston North End Preston North End 46 20 14 12 74:58 16 74
6 Aston Villa Aston Villa 46 18 16 12 79:63 16 70
7 Derby County Derby County 46 18 16 12 58:53 5 70
8 Bristol City Bristol City 45 19 12 14 59:48 11 69
9 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 18 15 13 62:61 1 69
10 Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC 45 17 17 11 48:39 9 68
11 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 46 17 15 14 64:52 12 66
12 Hull City Hull City 46 18 12 16 66:62 4 66
13 Brentford FC Brentford FC 45 18 11 16 74:58 16 65
14 Birmingham City Birmingham City 46 13 19 14 62:60 2 58
15 Swansea City Swansea City 45 14 15 16 54:56 -2 57
16 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 46 14 14 18 56:68 -12 56
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 11 22 13 46:53 -7 55
18 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 46 12 11 23 47:72 -25 47
19 Reading FC Reading FC 46 9 16 21 47:70 -23 43
20 Millwall FC Millwall FC 46 10 13 23 48:72 -24 43
21 Rotherham United Rotherham United 46 8 18 20 47:74 -27 42
22 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 46 10 11 25 47:76 -29 41
23 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 46 9 10 27 29:68 -39 37
24 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 46 4 17 25 35:75 -40 29
  • Agree 1

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3 hours ago, danblakemore said:
m M. W. D. L. Goals Dif. Pt.
1 Norwich City Norwich City 46 30 10 6 93:51 42 100
2 Leeds United Leeds United 46 28 8 10 74:43 31 92
3 Sheffield United Sheffield United 46 24 13 9 75:42 33 85
4 West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 46 25 10 11 87:58 29 85
5 Brentford FC Brentford FC 45 20 11 14 73:54 19 71
6 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 18 16 12 57:57 0 70
7 Aston Villa Aston Villa 46 17 18 11 76:62 14 69
8 Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC 45 18 15 12 47:36 11 69
9 Bristol City Bristol City 45 18 14 13 56:47 9 68
10 Hull City Hull City 46 19 11 16 67:61 6 68
11 Derby County Derby County 46 18 14 14 55:52 3 68
12 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 46 17 16 13 59:53 6 67
13 Preston North End Preston North End 46 16 15 15 68:61 7 63
14 Stoke City Stoke City 46 13 19 14 49:53 -4 58
15 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 46 15 13 18 58:67 -9 58
16 Birmingham City Birmingham City 46 13 16 17 62:63 -1 55
17 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 46 15 8 23 48:66 -18 53
18 Swansea City Swansea City 45 14 9 22 50:57 -7 51
19 Rotherham United Rotherham United 46 11 16 19 48:72 -24 49
20 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 46 12 9 25 47:71 -24 45
21 Millwall FC Millwall FC 46 10 11 25 45:67 -22 41
22 Reading FC Reading FC 46 9 13 24 45:71 -26 40
23 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 46 9 9 28 30:69 -39 36
24 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 46 6 16 24 35:71 -36 34
 
  Aufstieg

And there’s the money shot lol

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3 hours ago, danblakemore said:
m M. W. D. L. Goals Dif. Pt.
1 Norwich City Norwich City 46 30 10 6 93:51 42 100
2 Leeds United Leeds United 46 28 8 10 74:43 31 92
3 Sheffield United Sheffield United 46 24 13 9 75:42 33 85
4 West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 46 25 10 11 87:58 29 85
5 Brentford FC Brentford FC 45 20 11 14 73:54 19 71
6 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 18 16 12 57:57 0 70
7 Aston Villa Aston Villa 46 17 18 11 76:62 14 69
8 Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC 45 18 15 12 47:36 11 69
9 Bristol City Bristol City 45 18 14 13 56:47 9 68
10 Hull City Hull City 46 19 11 16 67:61 6 68
11 Derby County Derby County 46 18 14 14 55:52 3 68
12 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 46 17 16 13 59:53 6 67
13 Preston North End Preston North End 46 16 15 15 68:61 7 63
14 Stoke City Stoke City 46 13 19 14 49:53 -4 58
15 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 46 15 13 18 58:67 -9 58
16 Birmingham City Birmingham City 46 13 16 17 62:63 -1 55
17 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 46 15 8 23 48:66 -18 53
18 Swansea City Swansea City 45 14 9 22 50:57 -7 51
19 Rotherham United Rotherham United 46 11 16 19 48:72 -24 49
20 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 46 12 9 25 47:71 -24 45
21 Millwall FC Millwall FC 46 10 11 25 45:67 -22 41
22 Reading FC Reading FC 46 9 13 24 45:71 -26 40
23 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 46 9 9 28 30:69 -39 36
24 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 46 6 16 24 35:71 -36 34
 
  Aufstieg

 

BTW you have some teams on played 45

 

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Posted (edited)
5 hours ago, HirstWhoScoredIt said:

I’m absolutely convinced we’ll win at Norwich to help United and Leeds out.

 

We’ll probably be about 5/1 as well.  Put the lot on it, I guarantee it.

 

I just don’t see us losing to either Leeds or Norwich. I’ve felt for a while after all the stick from several quarters Bruce got with his decision to start here late and after all he’s been through personally over the last year that he is going to have something to smile about come the end of the season.

Edited by Great Big Galaa
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I have us finishing 9th with the blunts playing Villa in the play off semi.

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Can’t be arrsed looking this up but wonder where we were with 9 games to go when we got to the playoffs?

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Posted (edited)

Just how it came out usin' logic...F..o0k me!

 

 

 

1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 22 13 11 97:49 48 79
2 Leeds United Leeds United 46 24 7 15 68:71 -3 79
3 Norwich City Norwich City 46 23 10 13 79:86 -7 79
4 West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 46 18 18 10 76:55 21 72
5 Sheffield United Sheffield United 46 21 8 17 63:86 -23 71
6 Preston North End Preston North End 46 17 16 13 76:64 12 67
7 Birmingham City Birmingham City 46 15 19 12 69:56 13 64
8 Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC 45 15 19 11 44:39 5 64
9 Bristol City Bristol City 45 17 13 15 53:58 -5 64
10 Aston Villa Aston Villa 46 15 18 13 75:75 0 63
11 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 46 15 17 14 62:59 3 62
12 Swansea City Swansea City 45 16 13 16 56:51 5 61
13 Stoke City Stoke City 46 14 19 13 51:51 0 61
14 Derby County Derby County 46 15 16 15 50:57 -7 61
15 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 46 14 17 15 64:64 0 59
16 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 46 15 12 19 55:67 -12 57
17 Reading FC Reading FC 46 14 14 18 60:60 0 56
18 Hull City Hull City 46 15 11 20 58:63 -5 56
19 Brentford FC Brentford FC 45 14 13 18 69:60 9

 

 

 

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Edited by asteener1867
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No..I don't know how to edit properly...thats not the point...I feel sorry for Norwich..and I'm also disappointed regarding how hard it is to get the blades outta the equation

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Every year in the championship, the last 5/6 weeks the bottom clubs become a different beast. You'll get all sorts of shock results and thumpings. Form will completely go out of the window for them.
I reckon Middlesborough/Preston/Forest are teams ripe for beating by some of the lower clubs, as they are the games they write off and wins and worry about teams around them.

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15 minutes ago, 109Waddle said:

Can’t be arrsed looking this up but wonder where we were with 9 games to go when we got to the playoffs?

Points after 37 games;

2015-16: 59

2016-17: 62

2017-18: 38 (yes, it was that bad. Somehow Jos managed to conjure up 6 wins and 2 draws from the last 9)

2018-19: 52

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7 hours ago, oh_weds_we_love_you said:

 

They'll be teams fighting for their lives. Probably our two worst results under Bruce have been against Reading and Millwall - both in relegation bother.

 

Reading was the killer.

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Ipswich are going to be a tough team to play between now and the end of the season.

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My effort, for what it's worth. I had us 6th before the Leeds and Norwich games but our run-in is tough.

 

IMG_1383.PNG

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Posted (edited)

69 points, 9th

 

Screenshot_20190314-200914_Samsung Internet.jpg

Edited by Ash77

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8 hours ago, frastheowl said:

 

I said the other day, 70/71 points might be enough, and in all likelihood, we'd finish just shy of it. With this prediction, I've got it at 71, but we'd still finish just 2 pts short of the required amount. 

 

Expect Villa to have a strong finish. Smith has seemed to get their defence in shape of late, and the comeback of Grealish seems to have given them an extra dimension going forward. 

 

Everybody else, in and around the chasing pack, I expect to pretty much match each others results. 

 

In the run in, I've got:


Villa - 19 points - 2.1pts/game

Forest - 17 points - 1.9/game

Wednesday - 17 points - 1.9/game

Hull - 16 points - 1.8/game

Preston - 14 - 1.6/game

Derby - 14 points - 1.6/game

Bristol - 15 points - 1.5/game

Boro - 13 points - 1.3/game

 

So not much between any of the teams really, and in the end, the cushion a faltering Boro already have, will just about be enough to keep them in the playoffs. 

 

For anybodies interest, here's how I predicted our results to go:

 

Blackburn (H) - Win 2-0

Stoke (A) - Lose 1-2

Villa (H) - Draw 2-2

Forest (H) - Win 2-0

Leeds (A) - Lose 0-2

Norwich (A) - Win 2-1

Bristol (H) - Win 1-0

Preston (A) - Draw 1-1

QPR (H) - Win 3-2

Screenshot 2019-03-14 at 11.54.00.png

Completely with you on that prediction. Have a horrible feeling about the Stoke game. No idea why but just think they will turn up against us for one of the few times this season 

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