Geörge Whitebread Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 If we beat Derby, talk of playoff potential will inevitably follow. I was starting to let myself get carried away with it, so decided to look in a bit more detail... The chasing pack and their projected points, if they carry on at their current rate, are... Brizzle - 73 Derby - 71 Brum - 66 Forest - 66 Hull - 66 Villa - 63 Preston - 63 Wednesday - 63 Our current form is obviously stronger than looking at the season as a whole would suggest. But even if we beat Derby and assume we'll also beat Brizzle later (so the gap between us and them is closed to 3 points - currently 6), it's still a massive ask. It basically means we'll need to win 8 & draw 1 (so we can only lose 2) or win 7 and & draw 4 (so no margin for error). We still have Norwich, Leeds, Forest, Villa & Preston to play. So, even if we beat everyone that is currently below us, we still need 3 wins and 2 draws from teams above us. Who knows. It might happen. But it doesn't look likely, unfortunately. Here's the most positive forecast that I can muster (without being silly)... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG D Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 It's not happening. To be brutally honest, we aren't good enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Utah Owl Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 Just looking at the fixtures this weekend, provided we can beat Derby the gap could be down to just 3 points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanye West Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 I'd be a lot more optimistic if we didn't have such a horrific late March/ April coming up. Stoke, Villa, Forest, Leeds and Norwich consecutively is as bad of a run as you can ask for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
royalowlisback Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 Easy, lose at Norwich and Leeds to stop the piggies getting Automatic, then win the other 9. Then beat the piggies in the Play-Offs, sorted. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HOOTIE AND THE SHIT TU Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 We rarely beat Derby Especially on their own patch Just a bloke, who used up all his luck in one go when he met his wife. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Utah Owl Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 Just now, HOOTIE AND THE poo TU said: We rarely beat Derby Especially on their own patch Well it's about bloody time then! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
e6owl Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 Love to be optimistic, but think the draws against reading and millwall were the killers. Even if we went on a great run those 4 dropped points will be the albatross round our neck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
owlZfan84 Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 It's a long shot. A very long shot. However, we've got a few teams left to play in and around us. Win them, and you never know. IMO though, I don't think it's happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HOOTIE AND THE SHIT TU Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 Just now, Utah Owl said: Well it's about bloody time then! I hate going to Derby, I avoid it like the plague Son talked me into taking him 5 or 6 years ago We lost 3-0 Never again Just a bloke, who used up all his luck in one go when he met his wife. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steelcityowlsfan Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 The April fixtures are a killer. It's just too big an ask for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alanharper Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 If we win at Derby (we never win at Derby, especially since the implementation of the Keogh Penalty Immunity Clause) we still have that slim chance of the playoffs. Lose at Derby and it's pretty much all over, to go 9 points behind them at this stage will be just too much ground to make up with the tough games we have left and poor GD which means we'd have to make up an extra point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreshOwl Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 48 minutes ago, BIG D said: It's not happening. To be brutally honest, we aren't good enough. Nail head We’d need incredible luck/fortune to even get close A lot of positives with the club at the moment, let’s see where it takes us next season and beyond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yeadonowl Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 Stoke, Villa and Forest are all inconsistent at best so to me all winnable games Leeds and Norwich are a lot tougher though My bigger concern would be can we keep everyone fit? Will Forestieri be fit again this season? Will Hooper, Winnall and Joao get any game time? How long will Fletcher and Hutchinson stay fit? Bannan is also two yellow cards away from a 3 game ban Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRADDO Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 We have some momentum but with hardly any strikers fit it's highly unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiss Toni Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 I’d just like us to end the season playing positive football so that we have an idea what to expect next season. Wherever we finish then it was meant to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sonofbert2 Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 We'll win at Derby and keep winning..... I'm growing a lucky, unbeaten run beard which will look like this as we get promoted at Wembley in May so believe you set o' fannies! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S36 OWL Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 To many if`s and but`s for me . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lord Snooty Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 To be honest I'm not thinking about the table. Just hope we can keep showing this much better performances. There'll be a bummer result or two in there along the way. But as long as we keep going into games with a sense of positivity that's enough for me as we see out the tail end of the season. If by some fluke we did climb into that pack then brilliant. But ill not be losing any sleep over it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
asteener1867 Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 5 minutes ago, Lord Snooty said: To be honest I'm not thinking about the table. Just hope we can keep showing this much better performances. There'll be a bummer result or two in there along the way. But as long as we keep going into games with a sense of positivity that's enough for me as we see out the tail end of the season. If by some fluke we did climb into that pack then brilliant. But ill not be losing any sleep over it. Really Snoots ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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