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eddyowl123

The Run-In (8 Games to Go)

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Our final 8 fixtures of the season are as follows:

 

  • 30 Mar (H) Preston
  • 2 Apr (A) Sunderland
  • 7 Apr (H) Fulham
  • 10 Apr (A) QPR
  • 14 Apr (A) Hull City
  • 21 Apr (H) Reading
  • 28 Apr (A) Wolves
  • 6 May (H) Norwich

 

After today's win at L**ds, we sit 17th with 41 points. Last year's 21st placed survivors Nottingham Forest stayed up on goal difference, narrowly edging out Blackburn who dropped on the final day with 51 points.

 

Over the last 10 seasons, the average number of points recorded by the team finishing in 21st has been 49.4, with a range between 44 (Birmingham in 13/14) and 55 (Barnsley in 12/13), while the average points achieved by the team in 22nd has been 45.7, with a range between 40 (Portsmouth in 11/12 AND Charlton in 15/16) and 54 (Peterborough in 12/13).

 

So, the numbers would suggest that a further 5 points, on average, sees us safe. Both Barnsley and Birmingham would need 13 points from their final 8 games to reach that tally, and Birmingham would need to see a swing of at least 18 goals in their favour.

 

What I suppose I'm asking with all this is: how many do you think we need to be safe, and where do you think those points are likely to come from?

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My prediction is 6 points in the 7 next games means I won't need to go to the Norwich game

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Champions

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  • Agree 1

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My personal predictions are as follows:

 

  • 30 Mar (H) Preston - 1-3 (L)
  • 2 Apr (A) Sunderland - 0-1 (W)
  • 7 Apr (H) Fulham - 0-2 (L)
  • 10 Apr (A) QPR - 1-1 (D)
  • 14 Apr (A) Hull City - 1-1 (D)
  • 21 Apr (H) Reading - 0-0 (D)
  • 28 Apr (A) Wolves - 0-3 (L)
  • 6 May (H) Norwich - 1-1 (D)

Which gives us 7 further points and puts us on 48

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1 minute ago, Owlstastic said:

I think we'll get 20 points. 

 

I am a bit tipsy though......

To be fair, Wolves are due a 4-0 hiding from someone...

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 I think that win sees us safe. 

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  • 30 Mar (H) Preston draw 
  • 2 Apr (A) Sunderland win
  • 7 Apr (H) Fulham loss 
  • 10 Apr (A) QPR loss
  • 14 Apr (A) Hull City draw 
  • 21 Apr (H) Reading win
  • 28 Apr (A) Wolves loss 
  • 6 May (H) Norwich draw 

That's my prediction which should see us safe unless something barmy happens.

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Surely 27 points,   we find out we get an extra three points to one of the sides we lost to.  

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I think we will be ok. 

 

Think the toughest games are Preston and Fulham tbh. 

 

Wolves likely to be up by the time we play them so you never know. 

 

With how the division has been this season, I reckon two more wins should probably see us stop up. 

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43 points will see us safe I reckon. To pass us Birmingham or Barnsley would have to win around half of their remaining games and rely on us to lose half.

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We can get 6 points in the next two games. Especially with FF, Hutch and Bannan back in the fold.

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I can't see exactly how both Barnsley and Birmingham can each pull 5 wins out of their remaining 8. But I guess stranger things have happened.

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7 minutes ago, eddyowl123 said:

My personal predictions are as follows:

 

  • 30 Mar (H) Preston - 1-3 (L)
  • 2 Apr (A) Sunderland - 0-1 (W)
  • 7 Apr (H) Fulham - 0-2 (L)
  • 10 Apr (A) QPR - 1-1 (D)
  • 14 Apr (A) Hull City - 1-1 (D)
  • 21 Apr (H) Reading - 0-0 (D)
  • 28 Apr (A) Wolves - 0-3 (L)
  • 6 May (H) Norwich - 1-1 (D)

Which gives us 7 further points and puts us on 48

 

Don’t think we’l lose to Preston as long as Hutch tw@ts Pearson early doors :rolleyes:

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1 minute ago, darra said:

43 points will see us safe I reckon. To pass us Birmingham or Barnsley would have to win around half of their remaining games and rely on us to lose half.

Hopefully it's the dingles who go down 

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We're 8 points better off than them two 9 with our superior GD

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If we welcome back Forestieri, Bannan and Hutchinson we’ll be a far far better Sheffield Wednesday side than over the last 8 matches.

 

We’ll finish on 55 points.

 

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