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A look at the relegation situation

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stop being so realistic and positive , we're the worstest side in the league ever  and all the other sides you mentioned are all going to hit promotion form in the next ten games !!

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Posted (edited)

Given our form, the worst of the lot, I’m still more than a bit worried that we’ll find some way of defeating the odds, and dropping into the bottom three As I said, our form has been wretched, and we just have to hope those points we earned under Carlos, are enough to save us

Edited by gurujuan
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Don't come on here with your sensible posts.

 

Meltdowns and slating the club allowed only please.

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Thought Reading's run-in looked tough. There's usually one team slips into the bottom three at the end.

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Will predict we will finish a good 5 points above relegation.

But will probably have a points total that would send us down some seasons.

 

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Wow Peterborough were relegated with 54 points!!

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23 minutes ago, gurujuan said:

Given our form, the worst of the lot, I’m still more than a bit worried that we’ll find some way of defeating the odds, and dropping into the bottom three As I said, our form has been wretched, and we just have to hope those points we earned under Carlos, are enough to save us

 

It's not the worst of the lot tho, is it. We've lost 4 in a row.. Birmingham have lost 6 in a row.. 7 in a row if you count the cup game.

 

Most teams have 5 home and 5 away games left (a couple have a spare fixture delayed from the weather).

Looking at points from the last 5 home and aways for each team:

 

10 Bolton

9 Hull

8 Reading

8 Burton

7 Wednesday
7 Birmingham

6 Sunderland

 

So even after the worst run of results this season, we're still 7 points from 10. Another 7 points from 10 and we're probably comfortably safe.

In any case, our form is in no way the worst.

 

 

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I don’t think we’ll go down, but I’d be amazed if we reach 50 points, which is pretty shambolic really

 

Id take a guess that we’ll probably win 2 and draw 2 and lose 6 of our remaining 10 games, giving us 45 points

 

:picnic:

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personally think 43 will see us safe , may even be as low as 40 soif we revert back to the way we played when jos first came in 3 nil nil draws and a scrappy win will suffice

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Since I got worried about relegation, I have thought that 43 would see us safe, and maybe a point in hand.  Given potential for returning players after the Leeds game I feel reasonably ok and this analysis suggests we really may not need that. 

 

But. I shall be glad when it is all over...

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43 points probably is enough but its pretty embarrasing isnt it.

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1 hour ago, Whitechapel Owl said:

The last 5 years:

 

5aa1631fc7b08_bottom3.thumb.png.86fff9afd55220812d16f41562c12ce5.png

 

 

lucky for us we were not in a relegation fight last season or in 2012 or we would be goners ,55points in 2012 to stop up ,that was crazy we would have been 10 points behind that this season.

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1 hour ago, handworth52 said:

lucky for us we were not in a relegation fight last season or in 2012 or we would be goners ,55points in 2012 to stop up ,that was crazy we would have been 10 points behind that this season.

 

 

  Didn't we go down on 53 last time . Good job other teams aren't as good this season . 

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With Jos confirming confidence is shot, I can’t honestly see where our next win is coming from.

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Thankfully Carlos secured us enough points to keep us safe before he was hounded out by keyboard wielding villagers. 

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I think we’ll survive because loads of teams are terrible. Not a great accolade for a celebratory season but at least we had Cakeball. 

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The one thing to keep in mind is that towards the end of the season it's extremely common for teams at the bottom to hit an out of character run of form.

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