ANDY Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 Burnley won the 2015-16 Championship title with a finish of 93 points What exactly does it take to be promoted to the Premier League? And what do you need to do to book a place in the play-offs? In fact, what is even required just to avoid relegation to League One? Ahead of the new EFL campaign, which begins on Friday, BBC Sport has studied more than 30 years of statistics to try to answer all of these questions and more. 'You need 90 points to win promotion...' Middlesbrough sealed automatic promotion to the Premier League in 2015-16 with 89 points Last season, Aitor Karanka's Middlesbrough ended their seven-year absence from the top flight by taking second place in the Championship on goal difference, following a last-day draw against promotion rivals Brighton & Hove Albion. Spare a thought for Chris Hughton's Seagulls, though. In addition to their final-day heartache, their 89-point haul would have won them the Championship title in three out of the five seasons leading up to 2015-16. Boro's second-placed finish of 89 points was above average. In the last 10 seasons, teams have needed at least 86 points to seal automatic promotion to the Premier League. In the last three seasons, teams finishing second in the Championship have had an above-average points total Going for glory at Wembley Hull City beat Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 in the 2016 Championship play-off final Even if automatic promotion seems out of reach, a spot in the Championship play-offs may well be a more realistic proposition. So what do you need to do to give yourself a shot at going up at Wembley? On average, teams have needed 73 points to reach the play-offs in the last 10 Championship seasons. Leicester City qualified for the 2012-13 Championship play-offs with only 68 points In 2012-13, Leicester City reached the play-offs with just 68 points - the lowest number a team has ever required to make the second-tier play-offs since the current four-team format was introduced in 1989-90. Two seasons later, however, Wolves finished with a huge 78 points yet still managed to miss out on sixth place to Ipswich Town on goal difference. How to avoid the drop Peterborough United were relegated despite a record-high points total in 2012-13 Leicester's play-off-qualifying low points total in 2012-13 was not the only anomaly of that season. Poor old Peterborough United were relegated with 54 points, just 14 fewer than the Foxes. That is the most of any team ever to be relegated from the second tier since three points for a win was introduced in the 1981-82 season - and five points higher than the 49 you need on average to remain in the division. Just a season later, Paul Caddis' added-time goal against Bolton Wanderers helped Birmingham City stay up with 44 points, the lowest of any surviving team for 31 years. An immediate return Aston Villa will play in the second tier for the first time since 1987-88 Food for thought, Newcastle United, Norwich City and Aston Villa fans. In the last 10 seasons, 16 of the 30 relegated clubs have finished in the top six the following campaign, with 10 of those winning promotion back to the Premier League at the first time of asking. In seven of the last 10 campaigns, at least one team which had been relegated from the Premier League went straight back up. Staying in the second tier Burton Albion were promoted to the English second tier for the first time in their history in 2015-16 Burton Albion reached the English second tier for the first time in their history in May, but what do the stats say about how they might fare this season? In the last 10 years, only Norwich City and Southampton have won back-to-back promotions from League One to the Premier League. But, although that may have been a rare event as of late, successive promotions from the third to the first tier happened in five out of seven seasons between 1983-84 and 1989-90. Since 2006-07, most sides who have been promoted from the third tier have stayed up in the following season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMX Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 TL;DR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ANDY Posted August 4, 2016 Author Share Posted August 4, 2016 2 minutes ago, DMX said: TL;DR eh ? what does that mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOwl Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 I'm gonna say the target is 138 points, but obviously not to be too disappointed if we don't hit it We should probably aim as high as achievably possible rather than just some arbitrary points total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
elyowl1 Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 Target should be one more point than the team finishing third job done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiss Toni Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 The target should be 138 points with 46 wins out of 46 games. I'd be disappointed with anything less. Waits for someone to bite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frozen Regular Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 (edited) 37 minutes ago, Babushka1867 said: The target should be 138 points with 46 wins out of 46 games. I'd be disappointed with anything less. Waits for someone to bite. Carlos, is that you? Edited August 4, 2016 by Frozen Regular Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
papalazarowl Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 Only 83 after Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Notts Owl Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 59 minutes ago, ANDY said: Burnley won the 2015-16 Championship title with a finish of 93 points What exactly does it take to be promoted to the Premier League? And what do you need to do to book a place in the play-offs? In fact, what is even required just to avoid relegation to League One? Ahead of the new EFL campaign, which begins on Friday, BBC Sport has studied more than 30 years of statistics to try to answer all of these questions and more. 'You need 90 points to win promotion...' Middlesbrough sealed automatic promotion to the Premier League in 2015-16 with 89 points Last season, Aitor Karanka's Middlesbrough ended their seven-year absence from the top flight by taking second place in the Championship on goal difference, following a last-day draw against promotion rivals Brighton & Hove Albion. Spare a thought for Chris Hughton's Seagulls, though. In addition to their final-day heartache, their 89-point haul would have won them the Championship title in three out of the five seasons leading up to 2015-16. Boro's second-placed finish of 89 points was above average. In the last 10 seasons, teams have needed at least 86 points to seal automatic promotion to the Premier League. In the last three seasons, teams finishing second in the Championship have had an above-average points total Going for glory at Wembley Hull City beat Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 in the 2016 Championship play-off final Even if automatic promotion seems out of reach, a spot in the Championship play-offs may well be a more realistic proposition. So what do you need to do to give yourself a shot at going up at Wembley? On average, teams have needed 73 points to reach the play-offs in the last 10 Championship seasons. Leicester City qualified for the 2012-13 Championship play-offs with only 68 points In 2012-13, Leicester City reached the play-offs with just 68 points - the lowest number a team has ever required to make the second-tier play-offs since the current four-team format was introduced in 1989-90. Two seasons later, however, Wolves finished with a huge 78 points yet still managed to miss out on sixth place to Ipswich Town on goal difference. How to avoid the drop Peterborough United were relegated despite a record-high points total in 2012-13 Leicester's play-off-qualifying low points total in 2012-13 was not the only anomaly of that season. Poor old Peterborough United were relegated with 54 points, just 14 fewer than the Foxes. That is the most of any team ever to be relegated from the second tier since three points for a win was introduced in the 1981-82 season - and five points higher than the 49 you need on average to remain in the division. Just a season later, Paul Caddis' added-time goal against Bolton Wanderers helped Birmingham City stay up with 44 points, the lowest of any surviving team for 31 years. An immediate return Aston Villa will play in the second tier for the first time since 1987-88 Food for thought, Newcastle United, Norwich City and Aston Villa fans. In the last 10 seasons, 16 of the 30 relegated clubs have finished in the top six the following campaign, with 10 of those winning promotion back to the Premier League at the first time of asking. In seven of the last 10 campaigns, at least one team which had been relegated from the Premier League went straight back up. Staying in the second tier Burton Albion were promoted to the English second tier for the first time in their history in 2015-16 Burton Albion reached the English second tier for the first time in their history in May, but what do the stats say about how they might fare this season? In the last 10 years, only Norwich City and Southampton have won back-to-back promotions from League One to the Premier League. But, although that may have been a rare event as of late, successive promotions from the third to the first tier happened in five out of seven seasons between 1983-84 and 1989-90. Since 2006-07, most sides who have been promoted from the third tier have stayed up in the following season 106 no more no less. OK we will have more but NO LESS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doghouse Daz Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 Very constructive and helpful piece , saved me trawling around for these stats , many thanks , as posted in a previous topic I reckon goal difference is going to be a key , with a very tight finish for the top six positions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inspector Lestrade Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 Yeah good article, thanks for posting. Still non the wiser but very interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan™ Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 2 hours ago, ANDY said: eh ? what does that mean Thanks love; duly received. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ViolaOwls Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 (edited) Why 86? Just day 90 and were up Edited August 4, 2016 by ViolaOwls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DIPPS_S.W.F.C Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 2 points a game = p I ss ed the division c ya later ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Owlsend Posted August 4, 2016 Share Posted August 4, 2016 Lest get 13 points with our first 5 games I'm happy with that to start agree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilles De Bilde Posted August 5, 2016 Share Posted August 5, 2016 14 hours ago, elyowl1 said: Target should be one more point than the team finishing third job done Target should be one more point than the team finishing second job done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lee A Posted August 5, 2016 Share Posted August 5, 2016 14 hours ago, ANDY said: eh ? what does that mean Take long d!ck, repeatedly Or too long, didn't read Either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
elyowl1 Posted August 5, 2016 Share Posted August 5, 2016 15 minutes ago, Gilles De Bilde said: Target should be one more point than the team finishing second job done no Target is promotion , winning the league is stretch target and that's your big bonus payout. But i like your thinking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Tom Posted August 5, 2016 Share Posted August 5, 2016 Wonder if we can hit 86 league goals this season? Sounds like a lot (and is!), but looking around the team we've got 'em everywhere. Fletch, Hoops & Fessi could each get around 15, Lee, Wallace and Abdi maybe 7-8 each, Bannan you'd hope at least 6 or 7, Lees and Pudil 3-4 each, Matias, Nuhiu, João, Buckley...could be a real haul if we're flowing nicely by September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
since59owe Posted August 5, 2016 Share Posted August 5, 2016 16 hours ago, elyowl1 said: Target should be one more point than the team finishing third job done Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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